Analyze & Report

Risk

Heat-trapping gasses, especially carbon dioxide, released into our atmosphere are the leading cause of climate change. In addition to energy use, vehicle miles traveled and other emission sources from the built environment, disturbance of vegetation and soils release carbon into the atmosphere.

Annual average extreme heat days (over 85°F) in the Bay Area may increase by 15 to 40 more days per year by 2050, and potentially 90 more days per year by 2100.

Nature-based Solution

Healthy habitats are one of our only tools to help fight climate change by capturing and storing carbon both in the trunks and stems of vegetation and belowground in the soil.

This area stores {{ analyticaldata.features[0].properties.carbon_aboveground_value.toLocaleString()|negligible }} {{ analyticaldata.features[0].properties.carbon_aboveground_unit }} in vegetation, soils, and street trees. Avoiding disturbance in this area would have greenhouse gas emissions reduction benefits equivalent to getting at least {{ analyticaldata.features[0].properties.carbon_ghgequiv_cars.toLocaleString()|negligible }} passenger vehicles driven for one year off of the road, or benefits equivalent to planting at least {{ analyticaldata.features[0].properties.carbon_ghgequiv_trees.toLocaleString()|negligible }} seedlings and letting them grow for 10 years.

Risk from Sea-level Rise

Sea level rise and storm surges may increasingly inundate coastal areas.

{{ analyticaldata.features[0].properties.slr2050_percent|negligible }}% of your area is within projected sea-level rise inundation.

Resilience

Natural lands in inundation zones can reduce the velocity and intensity of storm surges.

Within this area, {{ analyticaldata.features[0].properties.naturalseminaturallands_value.toLocaleString()|negligible }} {{ analyticaldata.features[0].properties.naturalseminaturallands_unit }} within the sea-level rise inundation area have natural or semi-natural land cover.

Flood Risk

Climate change may increase the frequency and extent of potential inland floods.

{{ analyticaldata.features[0].properties.floodplain100_percent|negligible }}% of your area is within the 100-year floodplain. {{ analyticaldata.features[0].properties.floodplain500_percent|negligible }}% of your area is within the 500-year floodplain.

Resilience

Natural lands in inundation zones can reduce the velocity and intensity of flood events.

Within this area, {{ analyticaldata.features[0].properties.floodplain500_natural_value.toLocaleString() }} {{ analyticaldata.features[0].properties.floodplain500_natural_unit }} within the 500-year floodplain have natural land use.

Catastrophic Fire Risk

Extreme heat and dry conditions brought by climate change have exacerbated recent fires and complicated efforts to control them.

In your area of interest {{ analyticaldata.features[0].properties.firehazard_value.toLocaleString()|negligible }} acres are in high or very high fire hazard severity zones and {{ analyticaldata.features[0].properties.historicalfire_value.toLocaleString()|negligible }} acres have burned in wildfires since 1950 and {{ analyticaldata.features[0].properties.wu_interface_value.toLocaleString()|negligible }} acres are within the wildland-urban interface.

Resilience

Greenbelts and resilience parks may provide a buffer for the wildland-urban interface, helping to reduce the destructive-ness of fires. Fuels management and controlled burns can help return fire to its historic regime.

Climate Risk

With potential decreases in water supply and increases in water demand as the region becomes hotter and drier, and droughts become more frequent, groundwater basins will be increasingly stressed.

Water sources that extend beyond the Bay Area may also be stressed by climate change. Find out more about where your drinking water comes from in the report Where Does California's Water Come From?

Resilience

Maintaining the infiltration potential of areas with soil and geologic conditions that are most suitable for direct aquifer recharge will become increasingly important in a changing climate.

{{ analyticaldata.features[0].properties.hirechargevulnerable_value.toLocaleString()|negligible }} {{ analyticaldata.features[0].properties.hirechargevulnerable_unit }} of your area has soil or geologic conditions that are more likely to allow recharge at substantially higher rates.

Proactive action that leverages ecosystem services can enhance the resilience of our water supply, such as: floodplain restoration, soil amendments, groundwater retention ponds, and groundwater injection.

Climate Risk

Heat islands contribute to higher temperatures in urban areas and can lead to heat-related illness and death.

In this area, {{ analyticaldata.features[0].properties.urbheatisland_air_value.toLocaleString()|negligible }} {{ analyticaldata.features[0].properties.urbheatisland_air_unit }} are considered urban heat islands due to high temperatures, lack of canopy cover, and impervious surfaces.

Resilience

Tree canopy and open space can provide shade and cooling.

{{ analyticaldata.features[0].properties.prioritylandscapestreeplanting_value.toLocaleString()|negligible }} {{ analyticaldata.features[0].properties.prioritylandscapestreeplanting_unit }} in this area are priorities for street tree planting and {{ analyticaldata.features[0].properties.parkneed_value.toLocaleString()|negligible }} {{ analyticaldata.features[0].properties.parkneed_unit }} are in areas designated as high or very high park need.

Climate Risk

In 2020, fires from within and beyond the Bay Area caused particulate matter in the Bay Area to exceed the national standard for 20 days.

Resilience

Vegetation helps filter pollutants and clean our air, supporting the health of Bay Area communities.

In your area, {{ analyticaldata.features[0].properties.airpollutionpm2_value.toLocaleString()|negligible }} {{ analyticaldata.features[0].properties.airpollutionpm2_unit }} of particulate matter are sequestered by natural vegetation.

Climate Risk

A warmer and/or drier climate may require additional irrigation to maintain the same crop in the same location or sustain the same grazing intensity.

In your area, {{ analyticaldata.features[0].properties.morewater_hotdry_value.toLocaleString()|negligible }} {{ analyticaldata.features[0].properties.morewater_hotdry_unit }} of additional irrigation will be needed to offset climate change under the "Hotter, Drier" scenario and {{ analyticaldata.features[0].properties.morewater_warmwet_value.toLocaleString()|negligible }} {{ analyticaldata.features[0].properties.morewater_warmwet_unit }} of additional irrigation will be needed under the "Warmer, Wetter" scenario.

Resilience

Agricultural practices such as cover cropping, using soil amendments, and planting hedgerows can sequester CO2 and mitigate climate change while also providing habitat and improving crop yield, making local food production more resilient to the impacts of climate change. Decentralized stormwater capture on farms can help replenish aquifers. Additionally, planting urban farms can contribute to a resilient food system, improve community access to healthy foods, and reduce the effect of urban heat islands.

Climate Risk

It is assumed that habitats prioritized for conservation action will persist in those locations into the future. If climate change results in projected climate outside of the range of suitable climate for the vegetation types in that area, then the species and habitats in those prioritized lands may be more vulnerable to climate change.

In your area, {{ analyticaldata.features[0].properties.prinathab_marginal_percent|negligible }}% of prioritized habitats have vegetation types likely to be at the margins of suitable climate.

Resilience

Some species and vegetation in prioritized landscapes are likely to persist despite climate change either because projected changes are still within the range of suitable climate for those vegetation types or because local microclimate options that make those vegetation types more resilient to potential climate stress.

In this area, {{ analyticaldata.features[0].properties.prinathab_ok_percent|negligible }}% of prioritized habitats have vegetation types that are likely to have suitable climate in the future.

This area is {{ analyticaldata.features[0].properties.arearesilience_value }} resilience for the Bay Area.

Catastrophic Fire Risk

Artificially-severe fire can limit an ecosystem's ability to recover and can cause rapid changes to habitat and the wildlife it supports.

In your area, {{ analyticaldata.features[0].properties.prinathab_firesev_percent|negligible }}% of prioritized habitats are in high and very high fire severity zones.

Resilience

Fuels management and controlled burns can help return fire to its historic regime.

Climate Risk

Drought may reduce water availability causing changes to habitat and cover and exposing species to stressful conditions.

Resilience

Under drought conditions, Groundwater Dependent Ecosystems can provide important refuge for rare and endangered species, especially in times of drought, when other habitat options are increasingly stressed by reduced water availability. Your area has {{ analyticaldata.features[0].properties.groundwaterdependentecosystems_value.toLocaleString() }} acres of Groundwater Dependent Ecosystems.

Risk from Sea-Level Rise

Sea level rise may inundate important coastal habitat.

{{ analyticaldata.features[0].properties.coastalhabitatvulnerable_value.toLocaleString()|negligible }} acres of coastal habitat is vulnerable to sea-level rise, meaning they do not have enough room to migrate inland in response. Restoration and management of these habitats or adapting the built environment can enhance their resilience. These areas may still play an important role in protecting communities from the impacts of sea-level rise.

Resilience

Estuarine wetlands will need room to migrate inland as sea levels rise. Estuarine migration space is undeveloped uplands that are projected to become tidal with sea level rise. Migration space will need to be conserved, restored, and/or managed for tidal marshes and other bay habitats to move inland as sea level rises. These habitat types, and particularly marshes, provide multiple benefits to people, including enhancing shoreline resilience, improving water quality, and sequestering carbon. Up to {{ analyticaldata.features[0].properties.coastalhab_migrationspace_value.toLocaleString()|negligible }} acres in this area could be potential future habitat for coastal marsh migration.

Climate Risk

Climate change may cause habitats to be unsuitable for plants and animals. Those that cannot adapt to quickly changing conditions may have to move to find new habitat.

Resilience

Maintaining and enhancing habitat connectivity will make plants and animals better track change in suitable climate.

{{ analyticaldata.features[0].properties.climate_migration_value.toLocaleString()|negligible }} acres of land are within a climate migration route connecting current climate conditions to similar climates in the future.